NCAA Tournament March Madness

#340 Air Force

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Air Force’s standing comes down to resume reality: its few bright spots are home wins over lower-tier opponents and a competitive showing in a close road game at Navy, but that paltry collection of victories is overwhelmed by lopsided losses at power-conference opponents such as San Diego State, Utah State and New Mexico and by heavy road defeats at places like Belmont and Colorado State, which leave the team without any clear signature wins or neutral-site success to impress a committee. The schedule has offered some chances to change the narrative with a mix of home dates against conference rivals and tough trips to teams like Boise State and New Mexico, yet the wake of bad losses means those remaining opportunities must be converted or the only realistic route into the national field is through the conference’s automatic bid.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@Belmont63L79-63
11/8Austin Peay166L74-54
11/11LIU Brooklyn212L76-72
11/15Miami OH89L76-61
11/19Alabama St304W66-64
11/21SIUE261W77-63
11/23IUPUI317W98-85
11/26N Colorado175L71-53
11/29(N)South Dakota284L80-63
12/3Pacific120L80-65
12/7@Navy193L61-56
12/17@San Diego St45L81-58
12/30Wyoming102L68-56
1/3@UNLV117L67-39
1/6Utah St34L99-62
1/10New Mexico44L91-49
1/13@San Jose St250L70-62
1/17Nevada65L81-66
1/20@Colorado St88L81-52
1/24@Boise St692%
1/31Fresno St13515%
2/3@Grand Canyon822%
2/7San Diego St453%
2/10Colorado St888%
2/14@Fresno St1356%
2/17@New Mexico441%
2/21UNLV11713%
2/24San Jose St25035%
2/28@Wyoming1023%
3/3Grand Canyon827%
3/7@Nevada652%