NCAA Tournament March Madness

#347 Air Force

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Air Force’s resume paints a clear picture: its best moments are wins over Alabama State, SIUE and IUPUI while its resume is scarred by heavy defeats to Mountain West stalwarts and quality mid‑majors. The Falcons lack a signature road or neutral victory and have been blown out in tough road tests at San Diego State, Boise State, Fresno State and Colorado State and were thumped at home by Utah State and New Mexico, which tells a committee they have not beaten good teams away from vulnerability. With the closing slate stacked with road trips to New Mexico, Wyoming and Nevada and difficult home dates against UNLV and Grand Canyon, chances to repair the resume are slim and would have to come in unlikely spots. Given the low value of the wins to date and the damage from those bad losses, the only realistic path to the NCAA field is winning the conference tournament.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@Belmont61L79-63
11/8Austin Peay140L74-54
11/11LIU Brooklyn208L76-72
11/15Miami OH84L76-61
11/19Alabama St305W66-64
11/21SIUE235W77-63
11/23IUPUI312W98-85
11/26N Colorado149L71-53
11/29(N)South Dakota282L80-63
12/3Pacific105L80-65
12/7@Navy157L61-56
12/17@San Diego St42L81-58
12/30Wyoming104L68-56
1/3@UNLV129L67-39
1/6Utah St25L99-62
1/10New Mexico45L91-49
1/13@San Jose St256L70-62
1/17Nevada56L81-66
1/20@Colorado St93L81-52
1/24@Boise St57L96-54
1/31Fresno St122L79-62
2/3@Grand Canyon68L81-57
2/7San Diego St42L88-54
2/10Colorado St93L91-74
2/14@Fresno St122L93-63
2/17@New Mexico451%
2/21UNLV12912%
2/24San Jose St25631%
2/28@Wyoming1043%
3/3Grand Canyon684%
3/7@Nevada561%